US Economy News Today: Mortgage Rates Fall For the Third Consecutive Week

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Updated June 20, 2024

02:49 PM EDT

Welcome to Investopedia's economics live blog, where we explain what the day's news says about the state of the U.S. economy and how that's likely to affect your finances. Here we compile data releases, economic reports, quotes from expert sources and anything else that helps explain economic issues and why they matter to you.

Today, home building slowed in May and💛 Federal Reserve officials will continue to🎃 analyze incoming economic data.

We will be taking a break from the blog on Friday but join us again Monday as we look ahead to the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure.

Mortgage Rates Fall For the Third Consecutive Week

June 20, 2024 12:06 PM EDT

There is some possible rꦰelief on the horizon for potential homebuyers.

The average rate for a 30-year mortgage offered this week was 6.87% continuing a downward trend that began in early May, according to Freddie Mac. However, that's still far above the record low of 2.65% reached in 2021.

Mort꧒gage rates are influenced by the fed funds rate, which the Federal Reserve has kept at a 23-year high in order to drive up borrowing costs, reduce borrowing and spending in the economy, and keep inflation in check.

Inflation has been more tame in the past few months and that has made financial markets hopeful the Fed might cut its key interest rate later in the year, pote💮ntially providing some relief on mortgage rates.

"A rate around 6% could strongly motivate many sellers to list their homes, thereby increasing overall inventory and exert downward pressure on housing prices," said Realtor.com Economist, Jiayi Xu.

Should the Federal Reserve Pay Attention to Increases in Unemployment Claims?

June 20, 2024 10:28 AM EDT

Initial claims for unemployment insurance may be starting to show cracks i𒅌n the labor market.

The volatile weekly measure fell this week to 238,000, according to data released today from the Department of Labor. However, that pushed the more stable measure of the four-week moving average up to 232,750. Th🎐at number, which economists often cite as a better measure of the labor market, has fairly steadily rose since the end of April.

The Federal Reserve's fight against inflation has finally begun to take its toll on all aspects of the economy and 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:has resulted in a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:softening of the labor market. Central bankers✨ had previously said the job market wa🌠s overheated and that they were looking for more balance.

However, Fed officials are walking a fine line, trying to find balance without ti𝔍p♍ping the labor market too far and causing a recession.

"Initial claims suggest that the gain in nonfarm employment in May won’t be duplicated in June. The risks to the labor market should be garnering attention from the Federal Reserve," wrote Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. "The central bank can’t wait [to cut interest rates] until cracks in the labor market form or they’re behind the curve."

High Mortgage Rates Held Back Homebuilding In May

June 20, 2024 09:27 AM EDT

If the U.S. is to build its way out of the current housing shortagౠe, i༒t needs homebuilding to take off like a rocket. Instead, in May at least, it fizzled on the launchpad.

The pace of homebuilding slowed in May to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 1.28 million per year, the Census Bureau said Thursday, down from 1.35 million in April and well below the expectations of forecasters for 1.38 million according to a survey of economists from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. It was the slo𒁃west pace of new home construction since June 2020.

Building permits, an indicator of future groundbreaking, were also down, falling to an annual rate of 1.39 million from 1.44 million in April, and missing the median forecast for 1.45 million.

There’s no lack of people who need new homes. High demand for housing, driven partly by a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:worsening housing shortage, has pushed 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:home prices to record highs. But those high prices, combined with high mortgage rates have pushed monthly mortgage payments out of reach of many would-be buyers.

As a result, leaders in the homebuilding industry have become pessimistic that customers can afford what they build. The June edition of the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, which measures how builders assess business conditions, fell to its lowest since December, the association said Wednesday. At a rating of 43, the indicator stayed below the significant “50” mark which indicates more builders believe the outlook is good rather than bad.

“Persistently high mortgage rates are keeping many prospective buyers on the sidelines,” said NAHB Chairman Carl Harris, a custom home buౠilder from Wichita, Kansas, in a press release by the association.

The average rate for a 30-year mortgage offered last week was 6.95%, down from its recent peak of 7.79% in October, but far above the record low of 2.65% reached in 2021, according to Freddie Mac. Mortgage rates are influenced by the fed funds rate, which the Federal Res♔erve has kept at a 23-year high in order to drive up borrowing costs, reduce borrowing and spending in the economy, and keep inflation in check.

Financial markets are hopeful that with inflation having tamed in the past few months, the Fed might 澳洲幸💯运5开奖号码历🎐史查询:cut its key interest rate later in the year, potentially providing some relief on𒆙 mortgage rates.