Key Takeaways
- Wall Street expected the energy sector to outperform every other sector this year after a rough 2023.
- Oilfield services providers SLB and Halliburton, along with oil producer APA Corp., were some of the S&P 500 stocks analysts forecast to rise the most this year. Instead, they all fell more than 28%.
- Oil prices were pressured in 2024 by record U.S. production and sluggish demand in China, one of the world's largest crude consumers.
No one can pr🦩edict the future, and Wall Street analysts, despite that being part🌃 of their job, are no exception.
According to a December 2023 analysis by FactSet Research, analysts expected energy stocks in the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:S&P 500 to rise by more than 25% this year, about double the expected return of the next-best performing sector. Three of the 10 S&P 500 stocks that analysts were the most bullish on the cusp of the current year were in energy: oilfield services providers SLB (SLB) and Halliburton (HAL), and oil and gas producer APA Corp. (APA).
It didn’t pan out the way Wall Street expected. For the second year in a row, the sector trailed the broader market. Of the industries tracked by an S&P Global index, oilfield services and oil & gas exploration are the two worst performers in 2024, down 12% and 9%, respectively, through Friday's close. Each of the three ꦉstocks mentioned above have declined more than 28% this year.
High Supply, Lꦺow Demand Depressed Oil Prices in 2024
Robust supply and sluggish demand have weighed on oil prices this year, creating a headwind for the companies that drill for crude. OPEC+, the Saudi-led petroleum cartel, has sustained production cuts first implemented in 2023. But those cuts have been offset by record production in the U.S. and an 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:economic slowdown in China, the world’s second-largest oil consumer.
Next year’s not expected to be much better for 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:oil producers. The U.S. 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Energy Infor♍mation Adminiꦕstration (EIA) forecasts crude prices will be about 6% lower on average next year as domestic drillers ramp up production to a record 13.5 million barrels a day.
Nonetheless, Wall Street expects shares of the three oil companies mentioned above to post sizable gains in 2025. APA’s median 12-month price target is about 33% above its price as of Dec. 20. SLB’s stock is expected to rise 48%, and Halliburton’s is seen by analysts as rising 39%.