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Market Jitters: Meaning, Market Psychology, Example

Market Jitters

Investopedia / Paige McLaughlin

What Are Market Jitters?

"Market jitters" is a colloquial term for an elevated state of anxiety and perceived uncertainty about the economy or a specific asset market.

Market jitters can be a sign that the stock market is overdue for a pullback or correction. This can lead to a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:repricing of risk or further degenerate into a significant economic down🦄turn.

Key Takeaways

  • "Market jitters" refers to a state of increased anxiety and uncertainty among market participants. 
  • Unpriced risk and uncertainty in response to changing economic conditions, economic shocks, or negative market psychology all play a role in market jitters.
  • Market jitters can induce a flight to safety into low-risk assets, but can also be advantageous for investments and trading strategies that benefit from high volatility. 

Understanding Market Jitters

Market jitters is a phrase associated with the turning point at the peak of a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:bull market or a stock market rally. This is usually when a negative economic shock, unexpectedly bad economic data, or poor corporate earnings reports increase market 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:volatility. These ♍events signal that there may be trouble in the financial markets.

When markets experience jitters it can be a sign they are overdue for a correction. Investors may reassess their portfolios and either consider shifts in 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:tactical asset allocation, or rebalancing to bring their portfolios back to their desired 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:strategic asset allocation. As risk is reprice꧟d, market jitters can lead to big flows into and out of different global asset 🎐classes.

As the saying goes, markets hate uncertainty. Market jitters often involve not only risk (known or estimable factors that can be priced in) but true uncertainty (unknown factors whose risk or probability cannot be reliably estimated). 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Efficient markets may be able 🧸to handle risk well and adjust well to changing risk acrosಞs various asset classes, but uncertainty is more difficult or impossible to accurately price. 

Although uncer🌱tainty by its very nature cannot be factored into prices, economists have devised ways to estimate the general perception of uncertainty in an economy💎. They use measures of asset price volatility, the dispersion of forecasts of economic performance among major forecasters, and the frequency of media mentions of terms related to uncertainty. Time periods when these measures are elevated can be considered episodes of market jitters. 

Market Psychology

Psychological factors often end up playing a role during periods of heightened uncertainty, which can lead to high volatility, dramatic price swings, and market instability. 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Keynesian economics refers to these types of factors as "澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:animal spirits" due to their perceived irrationality. In a worst-case scenario, a market may experience a se🦹tback purely as a result of market jitters, if the sentiment d🎉evolves into general pessimism.  

During periods of market jitters, investments and trading strategies that are resilient to or benefit from market volatility may be advantageous. However, they may also fail dramatically if t🥀he investors guess wrong. Market jitters also tend to induce flights to safety in investments, where investors try to protect themselves from risk and uncertainty by moving into lower risk, lower return asset classes. 

Cboe Volatility Index (VIX): 2018—present

Example of Market Jitters

In the first half of 2018, the U.S. stock market experienced market jitters, because of fears that the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes and quantitative tightening might quash the economic recovery, and trigger a sell-off in the bond market and the stock market.

Adding to their fears was the flattening of the yield curve and the sudden widening in the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:LIBOR-OIS spread, which is a measure of stress in the banking sector. The result of these market jitters was a big spike in the VIX, the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Cboe Volatility Index for the S&P 500, otherwise known as the "fear index."

Article Sources
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  1. Federal Reserve Board. "," Pages 10-11, 14-15, 16-18.

  2. Federal Reserve Board. "."

  3. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, FRED. "."

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