The dividend growth rate is the annualized percentage rate of growth that a particular stock's dividend undergoes over a period of time. Many mature companies seek to increase the dividends paid to their investors on a regular basis. Knowing the dividend growth rate is a key input for stock valuation models known as 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:dividend discount models.

Understanding the Dividend Growth Rate

Being able to calculate the dividend growth rate is necessary for using the dividend discount model. The dividend discount model is a type of 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:security-pricing model. The dividend discount model assumes that the estimated future dividends—discounted by the excess of 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:internal growth over the company's estimated dividend growth rate—♈determine a given stock's price.

If the dividend discount model procedure results in a higher number than the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:current price of a company’s shares, the model considers the stock undervalued. Investors who use the dividend discount model believe that by estimating the expected value of cash flow in the future, they can 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询ꦆ:find the intrinsic value 🐠of a specific stock.

A history of strong dividend growth could mean future dividend growth is likely, which can signal 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:long-term profitability for a given company. When an investor calculates the dividend growth rate, they can use any interval of time they wish. They may also calculate the dividend growth rate using the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:least squares method or by simply taking a simple annualized figure over the time per🅘iod.

How to Calculate the Dividend Growth Rate

An inve🍰stor can calculate the dividend growth rate by taking an average, or geometrically for more precision. As an example of the linear method, consider the following.

A company's dividend payments to its shareholders over the last five years were:

• Year 1 = $1.00
• Year 2 = $1.05
• Year 3 = $1.07
• Year 4 = $1.11
• Year 5 = $1.15

To calculate the growth from one year to the next, use the followi𝔍ng formula:

Dividend Growth= Dividend_YearX /(Dividend_{Year(X - 1)}) - 1

In the above example, the growth rates are:

• Year 1 Growth Rate = N/A
• Year 2 Growth Rate = $1.05 / $1.00 - 1 = 5%
• Year 3 Growth Rate = $1.07 / $1.05 - 1 = 1.9%
• Year 4 Growth Rate = $1.11 / $1.07 - 1 = 3.74%
• Year 5 Growth Rate = $1.15 / $1.11 - 1 = 3.6%

The average of these four annual growth rate꧅s is 3.56%. To confirm this 🎃is correct, use the following calculation:

$1 x (1 + 3.56%)⁴ = $1.15

Example: Dividend Growth and Stock Valuation

To value a company’s stock, an individual can use the ♌dividend discount model (DDM). The dividend discount model is based on the idea that a stock is worth the sum of its future payments to shareholders, discounted back to the present day.

The simplest dividend discount model, known as the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Gordon Growth Model (GGM)'s formula is:

$\begin{aligned} &P = \frac{ D_1 }{ r - g } \\ &\textbf{where:} \\ &P = \text{Current stock price} \\ &g = \text{Constant growth rate expected for} \\ &\text{dividends, in perpetuity} \\ &r = \text{Constant cost of equity capital for the} \\ &\text{company (or rate of return)} \\ &D_1 = \text{Value of next year's dividends} \\ \end{aligned}$​P=r−gD1​​where:P=Current stock priceg=Cons𝓡tant growth rate expected fordividends, in perpetuityr=Constant 🗹cost of equity capital for thecompany (or rate of return)D1​=Value of next year’s divid🐻ends​

In the above example, if we assume next year's dividend w⛎i🦩ll be $1.18 and the cost of equity capital is 8%, the stock's current price per share calculates as follows:

P = $1.18 / (8% - 3.56%) = $26.58.

The Bottom Line

Dividends can be a great boon to investor portfolios, providing a regular stream of income, which can be particularly beneficial when a stock hasn't witnessed much appreciation. Understanding how a company views its dividend payments and how the dividend's growth has been, can help investors make wise investment decisions. Utilizing the dividend growth rate calculation can help with these investment decisions.