Key Takeaways
- The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey showed a surprising decline in May as tariff-related worries continued to sour public opinion around the economy.
- The latest survey provided preliminary results for May, and reflects the period after President Donald Trump paused tariffs on some nations in April.
- However, the results only covered two days after the U.S. and China announced a trade deal earlier this week.
Consumer sentime🐷nt fell for the fifth straight month, and President Donald Trump’s decision to reverse some tariffs has not improved the public mood.
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey declined again in May to 50.8, the second-lowest sentiment reading in the survey’s history. The report’s closely followed inflation pro💦jections showed consumers exp🧔ected prices to rise by 7.3% over the next year. It’s the highest inflation expectation since 1981.
Economists expected a slight rebound in sentiment this month amid optimism about 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:trade negotiations and the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:first agreements being reached. Consumer sentiment has plunged so far this year on worries that import ta✅xes would raise prices.
Survey Doesnꦉ’t Fully Capture U.S.-China Trade Deal
While the preliminary readings for May capture the period after Trump issued a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:90-da🙈y pause on many tariffs on April 9, the survey only covers two days after the White House announced a tariffs 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:agreement with China on May 12.
“Many survey measures showed some signs of improvement following the temporary reduction of China tariffs, but t🧜hese initial upticks were too small to alter the overall picture—consumers continue to express somber views about the economy,” wrote Michigan Survey of Consumers Dir🅷ector Joanne Hsu.
Sentiment surveys have shown that consumers are 澳洲幸运5开奖🧔号码历史查询:worrying about the direction of the econ♈omy in the face of higher U.S. tariffs. But so far, the “澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:soft data” fears expressed by consumers haven’t shown up in the “hard data” of 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:retail sales and other economic measurements.
“If you took them at face value Americans would be crashing the economy by spending next to nothing, but retail sales rose last month, though slightly,” wrote Navy Federal Credit Union Corporate Economist Robert Frick. “What this does tell us is consumers are so on edge that a contraction in the labor market or in incomes could easily shock consumer spending and push us into recession.”