PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) beat bottom-line estimates when it reported results on April 26, but the stock stayed below its semiannual pivot at $137.81. The stock subsequently fell below its quarterly pivot at $135.03 and its quarterly pivot at $135.03, but it held its 50-day 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:simple moving average (SMA) at 129.40.
PepsiCo shares closed last week at $130.14, down 4.8% so far in 2020. The stock is in 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:correction territory at 11.6% below its Feb. 18 high of $147.30 and is in bull market territory at 🌄28.3% above its March 20 low of $101.🤪42.
The company has a diversified menu of beverages and snacks, including Frito-Lay, Gatorade, Quaker, and Tropicana. PepsiCo has beaten 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:earnings per share (EPS) estimates in the past five quarters. The company has an elevated 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:P/E ratio of 23.54 with a favorable 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:dividend yield of 2.89%, according to Macrotrends.
The daily chart for PepsiCo
The daily chart for PepsiCo shows the stock above a 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:golden cross that was conf♔irmed on Aug. 16, 2018, when the 50-day SMA rose above the 200-day SMA to indicate that higher prices would follow. Holding the 200-day SMA between Sept. 5, 2018, and Jan. 30, 2019, provided a buying opportunity for the stock.
This provided the forcꩲe for the stoc♛k to set its all-time intraday high of $147.20 on Feb. 18, 2020. This was a test of its annual risky level at $145.70 as an opportunity to reduce holdings. From this high, the stock cascaded below its semiannual pivot at $137.81 on March 6 and below its 200-day SMA the same day, providing the negative momentum to its March 20 low of $101.42.
The V-Shaped reboun🧜d was to its 200-day SMA and the quarterly pivot at $1꧂35.03 on April 14. The stock failed at its semiannual pivot at $137.81 and moved back below its quarterly pivot at $135.03 and its monthly pivot at $135.03. This is quite a volatile ride that investors could capture it they understand how to use my proprietary analytics and by reading the daily and weekly charts.
The Weekly Chart for PepsiCo
The weekly chart for PepsiCo is neutral, with the stock below its five-week modified moving average of $131.16. The stock is above its 200-week SMA, or 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:reversion to the mean, at $117.39. The 12 x 3 x 3 weekly slow 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:stochastic reading rose to 63.20 this week, up f𒆙rom 59.21 on April 24.
Trading strategy: Buy PepsiCo shares on weakness to the 200-week SMA at $117.39 and reduce holdings on strength to the quarterly, semiannual, and annual risky levels at $135.03, $137.81, and $145.70, respectively.🍨
How to use my value levels and risky levels: The closing prices on Dec. 31, 2019, were inputs to my proprietary analytics. Semiannual and annual levels remain on the💙 charts. Each calculation uses the l🌄ast nine closes in these time horizons.
The second quarter 2020 level was 💖established based upon the March 31 close, and tඣhe monthly level for May was established based upon the April 30 close. New weekly levels are calculated after the end of each week, and new quarterly levels occur at the end of each quarter. Semiannual levels are updated at mid-year, while annual levels remain in play all year long.
My theory is that nine years of 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:volatility between closes are enough to assume that all possible bullish or bearish even൲ts for the stock are factored in. To capture share price volatility, investors should buy shares on weakness to a value level and reduce holdings on strength to a risky level. A pivot is a value level or risky level that was violated within its time horizon. Pivots act as magnets that have a high probability of being tested again before their time horizon expires.
How to use 12 x 3 x 3 weekly slow stochastic readings: My choice of using 12 x 3 x 3 weekly slow stochastic readings was based upon 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:backtesting many methods of reading share-price momentum with the objective of finding the combi🐼nation that resulted in the fewest false signals. I did this following🐈 the stock market crash of 1987, so I have been happy with the results for more than 30 years.
The stochastic reading covers the last 12 weeks of highs, lows, and closes for the stock. There is a raw calculation of the differences between the highest high and lowest෴ low versus the closes. These levels are modified to a fast reading and a slow reading, and I found that the slow rไeading worked the best.
The stochastic reading scales between 00.00 and 100.00, with readings above 80.00 considered 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:overbought and readings below 20.00 considered oversold. A reading above 90.00 is considered an "inflating parabolic bubble" formation, which is typically followed by a decline of 10% to 20% over the next three to five months. A reading below 10.00 is considered "too cheap to ignore," which is typically followed by gains of 10% to 20% over the next three to five mont🔴hs.
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Disclosure: The author has no positions in any stocks mentioned and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.