Welcome to Investopedia's live blog of the Federal Reserve Open Markets Committee meeting. Here, we will bring you the latest news on the Fed's decision, explain what it means, and provide analysis.
The Federal Reserve held its influential fed💟 🧸funds rate this afternoon, as widely expected. At the close of their meeting on Wednesday, central bankers released a written statement outlining their decisions.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell provided 🐠more details and answered questions at a press conference after the statement was released.
Follow al🗹ong ꦏwith our live coverage of the Fed meeting below.
Powell Says The Fed Didn't Mean Anything By Striking Language About Balance
Powell said that there shouldn't be any signal taken from the committee removing the language of their dual mandate being in balance. He said it had just outlived its usefulness.
Recession Chances Are Still Low, Powell Says
Powell sai🔯d the Fed does not make predictions about recessions, but there is always a small chance of the economy falling into an economic do♋wnturn.
He said that while outside economists have raised their chances🎐 of a recession happening, they are still rather low probabilities.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell Says They Are "Not In a Hurry" Amid Uncertainty
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's read a prepared statement to kick off his press conference, and much of it revolved around how uncertainty in policy is affecting the economy.
"The new administration is in the process of implementing policy changes in four distinct areas: trade, immigration, fiscal policy, and regulation. It is the net effect of these changes that will matter for the economy, and for the path of monetary policy," he said. "While there have been recent developments in some of these areas, especially trade policy, uncertainty around the changes and their effects on the economic outlook is high.”
He also said he and his colleagues are "not in a hurry" to cut interest rates amid the uncertainty.
“We are focused on separating the signal from the noise as the outlook evolves," he said.
You can watch Powell's press conference live here.
The Fed's Economic Projections Get More Pessimistic
Fed officials adopted a more pessiဣmistic outlook for the year ahead in their latest economic projections.
At Wednesday's meeting, members of the Federal Open Market Committee penciled in the unemployment rate rising to 4.4% by the end of the year, up from 4.3% in December. They also projected inflation, as measured by core Personal Consumption Expenditures, will rise at 2.8% over the year, up from 2.5% in the December projections. They also expected GDP to grow 1.7%, less than the 2.1% they projected in December.
What didn't change, however, was the number of rate cuts penciled in this year. Just like in December, the committee expects to cut its influential interest rate by half a percentage point this year.
Read more about statement and economic projections here.
The Fed Statement Focuses In On Uncertainty
The FOMC statement released Wednesday removed mentions of its employment and inflation goals being in balance from its last statement. The removal sharpened the Fed's focus on the uncertainty in the economy.
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The FOMC 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:carefully constructs the statements to convey its views on the current econom💦ic situation and potential future policy actions to the market.
Federal Reserve Leaves Its Interest Rate Untouched For Second Consecutive Meeting
෴The Federal Open Market Committee held the fed funds rate at a range of 4.25% to 4.5% at its meeting Wednesda🎉y.
This is the second meeting in which officials have left their influ🉐ential interest rate unchanged. In January, the committee ended a three-mee🔯ting streak of rate cuts by standing pat.
The fed funds rate influences borrowin🌊g costs on all kinds of loa♚ns including credit cards, auto loans and personal loans.
Summary of Economic Projections May Not Provide Many Clues
The statement released after Ma🐽rch’s meeting concludes on Wednesday is scheduled to include a Summary of Economic Projections (SEPܫ). The SEP is released four times a year after every other FOMC meeting.
The economic projections are a snapshot of where the 19 committee members think the economy is headed. The most closely watched element of the SEP is the "dot plot," in which members 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:project the future fed funds rate. Economists typically find the median of the projection to g🦩ive an idea of the federal fund rate’s path.
However, this time, it may be murkier because of the Fed’s holding pattern and 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:uncertainty in the economy.
Why Is the Fed Hesitant to Cut Rates?
💫 Uncertainty seems to be spreading through the economy, and the Fed is seem♍ingly not immune.
Some of President Donald Trump's proposed economic policies have 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:stoked uncertainty, 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:undermined confidence among business leaders and consumers, 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:sent stocks tumbling, and 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:raised fears of a possible economic downturn.
The Fed is reluctant to act until there is more clarity on which of President Trump's tariff threats will be implemented and the impact those tariffs will have on 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:inflation and economic growth.
There's a 99% Chance the Fed Will Its Influential Interest Rate Flat Today
Financial markets are overwhelmingly betting the Fed will hold its benchmark 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:federal funds rate at a range of 4.25% to 4.5% today.
According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, which forecasts rate movements based on fed funds futures trading data, there is a 99% chance that the Fed won't change its key interest rate, which influences borrowing costs of all kinds.
It would be the second meeting in a row that the 澳洲幸运5开奖号码历史查询:Federal Open Market Committee stood pat. In January, the FOꦺMC k❀ept the rate unchanged after cutting it by a percentage point over the previous three meetings.
Read more about what to expect from the Fed's interest rate policy decision here.